Monday, September 30, 2013

Does BHO = GWB in 2014?

Recent polls have shown a dramatic decline in President Obama's approval rating.  In the most recent Reuters/Ipsos Poll, President Obama's approval has dropped to 39%.

Only 35% of Democrats strongly approve of the job President Obama is doing.  23% of Independents and 12% of Republicans also approve.

When looking at President George W. Bush's numbers during September of his first year after his re-elect, we find that Bush also had a 39% job approval number.

It's interesting to compare how the media reported these two numbers during the same time period for each president.  When Bush scored a 39, it was reported as:
Bush's job rating continues to drop
Poll shows president's performance approval at low point
(CNN) -- President Bush's job approval rating continues to plummet, with 39 percent of Americans surveyed in the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll supporting his performance, compared to 58 percent expressing disapproval.
Contrast that with President Obama:

Actually, we can't do that because no one seems to be reporting President Obama's current GWB-like numbers...imagine that!

President Bush's low approval led the Republican party to major failure in the 2006 elections.  No Republican won a House, Senate, or Gubernatorial race that was held by a Democrat in 2006.  Democrats captured the House and selected Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, the Senate with a 49-49 tie (because two Independent senators went with the Democrats making it 51-49), captured the majority of governorships 28-22, and the majority of state legislatures 23-17 (remaining were split.)

Will President Obama's Bush-like numbers spell the same for Democrats in 2014?

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